These arguments could backfire on you when challenging some internet Facebook fool.
1. Tax cuts increase revenue? In a 2010 study,
Nyhan and Reifler asked people to read a fake newspaper article
containing a real quotation of George W. Bush, in which the former
president asserted that his tax cuts "helped increase revenues to the
Treasury." In some versions of the article, this false claim
was then debunked by economic evidence: A correction appended to the
end of the article stated that in fact, the Bush tax cuts "were followed
by an unprecedented three-year decline in nominal tax revenues, from $2
trillion in 2000 to $1.8 trillion in 2003." The study found that
conservatives who read the correction were twice as likely to believe Bush's claim was true as were conservatives who did not read the correction.
2. Death panels! Another notorious political
falsehood is Sarah Palin's claim that Obamacare would create "death
panels." To test whether they could undo the damage caused by this
highly influential morsel of misinformation, Nyhan and his colleagues
had study subjects read an article about the "death panels" claim, which
in some cases ended with a factual correction
explaining that "nonpartisan health care experts have concluded that
Palin is wrong." Among survey respondents who were very pro-Palin and
who had a high level of political knowledge, the correction actually
made them more likely to wrongly embrace the false "death panels" theory.
3. Obama is a Muslim! And if that's still not enough, yet another Nyhan and Reifler study
examined the persistence of the "President Obama is a Muslim" myth. In
this case, respondents watched a video of President Obama denying that
he is a Muslim or even stating affirmatively, "I am a Christian." Once
again, the correction—uttered in this case by the president
himself—often backfired in the study, making belief in the falsehood
that Obama is a Muslim worse among certain study participants. What's
more, the backfire effect was particularly notable when the researchers
administering the study were white. When they were nonwhite, subjects
were more willing to change their minds, an effect the researchers
explained by noting that "social desirability concerns may affect how
respondents behave when asked about sensitive topics." In other words,
in the company of someone from a different race than their own, people
tend to shift their responses based upon what they think that person's
worldview might be.
4. The alleged Iraq-Al Qaeda link. In a 2009 study,
Monica Prasad of Northwestern University and her colleagues directly
challenged Republican partisans about their false belief that Iraq and
Al Qaeda collaborated in the 9/11 attacks, a common charge during the
Bush years. The so-called challenge interviews included citing the
findings of the 9/11 Commission and even a statement by George W. Bush,
asserting that his administration had "never said that the 9/11 attacks
were orchestrated between Saddam and Al Qaeda." Despite these facts,
only 1 out of 49 partisans changed his or her mind after the factual
correction. Forty-one of the partisans "deflected" the information in a
variety of ways, and seven actually denied holding the belief in the
first place (although they clearly had).
5. Global warming. On the climate issue, there does not appear to be any study that clearly documents a backfire effect. However, in a 2011 study,
researchers at American and Ohio State universities found a closely
related "boomerang effect." In the experiment, research subjects from
upstate New York read news articles about how climate change might
increase the spread of West Nile Virus, which were accompanied by the
pictures of the faces of farmers who might be affected. But in one case,
the people were said to be farmers in upstate New York (in other words,
victims who were quite socially similar to the research subjects); in
the other, they were described as farmers from either Georgia or from
France (much more distant victims). The intent of the article was to
raise concern about the health consequences of climate change, but when
Republicans read the article about the more distant farmers, their
support for action on climate change decreased, a pattern that
was stronger as their Republican partisanship increased. (When
Republicans read about the proximate New York farmers, there was no
boomerang effect, but they did not become more supportive of climate
action either.)
Together, all of these studies support the theory of "motivated reasoning":
The idea that our prior beliefs, commitments, and emotions drive our
responses to new information, such that when we are faced with facts
that deeply challenge these commitments, we fight back against them to
defend our identities. So next time you feel the urge to argue back
against some idiot on the internet…pause, take a deep breath, and
realize not only that arguing might not do any good, but that in fact,
it might very well backfire.
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